Thursday, May 17, 2012

Friedman: The Open-Door Bailout

Posted by nithi.vivatrat on February 11, 2009

Tom Friedman’s column yesterday opens with an interesting (only partially tongue-in-cheek) suggestion to solve our financial (and housing) crisis: open the door to more immigrants who will buy subprime homes, work hard to pay for them, improve the savings rate, and create new jobs.

As I have told some of you, I believe we do two things better than any other country: entertain (culture as export) and innovate. But we are at risk of being surpassed in the latter area.  China and India are producing far more college graduates, especially in math, science, and engineering, than we are.  Soon, those countries will be able to throw more intellectual muscle behind innovation than we can.  Further, the issues in our public school system will exacerbate the situation (which is why we have to invest heavily in education).

In all areas of trade, protectionist policies might make us feel better (briefly), but they undermine us for the long term. This is especially true when it comes to intellectual talent.  We have to grow, invent, and innovate our way out of this mess — we can’t just hide behind walls and wait for it to get better.  If we deprive ourselves of necessary scientific and engineering resources, then we make it that much harder on ourselves.

I’ll close with my favorite section of the column:

“Dear America, please remember how you got to be the wealthiest country in history. It wasn’t through protectionism, or state-owned banks or fearing free trade. No, the formula was very simple: build this really flexible, really open economy, tolerate creative destruction so dead capital is quickly redeployed to better ideas and companies, pour into it the most diverse, smart and energetic immigrants from every corner of the world and then stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat, stir and repeat.”

Shift Happens (Even in Real Estate)

Posted by nithi.vivatrat on February 5, 2009

With all the ground shifting so rapidly in the real estate industry and the American economy, I was reminded of a video that was originally conceived as a PowerPoint presentation for a 150-person staff meeting at a Colorado high school in 2006 (see the Shift Happens wiki for the presentation’s history, source material, and various versions).  It went viral and has been seen by at least five million viewers.  Updated in 2007, the version embedded above is just as revealing now as when I first saw it.  For instance — WAIT! There is more to read… read on »

Forces Driving the National Housing Market

Posted by nithi.vivatrat on January 29, 2009

I have been getting a lot of questions about the housing market, specifically regarding my thoughts on where home prices are going and whether this is a good time to sell or buy.

Before proceeding, and without singling out any one person or entity, let me offer this suggestion: use a healthy dose of skepticism when considering the advice/judgments/forecasts from “experts” who have a business/financial stake in how you act upon their predictions.  The economic lessons of late (failing banks, irresponsible lending practices, corrupt investment funds, biased and inaccurate ratings by ratings agencies, and others) should give us pause. WAIT! There is more to read… read on »

NYT: Nationalization Gets a New, Serious Look

Posted by nithi.vivatrat on January 26, 2009

The New York Times has this very interesting analysis of the evolving (and increasing) manner in which the federal government is involved in our financial sector.  A must-read (in my humble opinion) for anyone interested in the benefits and risks for all of us as taxpayers and stakeholders.